Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.572027 0.660829 0.757932 0.871868 1.001766 1.145120 1.315185
2025-06-22 0.407826 0.524654 0.665517 0.847285 1.074998 1.350169 1.707194
2025-06-29 0.316340 0.440379 0.600979 0.822934 1.120350 1.503553 2.032933
2025-07-06 0.256611 0.381444 0.552873 0.803521 1.158294 1.639701 2.339069
2025-07-13 0.223833 0.352068 0.537293 0.821433 1.242712 1.839829 2.744615
2025-07-20 0.204518 0.338223 0.540161 0.863291 1.362190 2.096616 3.250737
2025-07-27 0.185214 0.320906 0.534491 0.889804 1.459161 2.326762 3.736035
2025-08-03 0.165463 0.299638 0.519246 0.898195 1.526925 2.516359 4.173690
2025-08-10 0.146784 0.277276 0.498949 0.894966 1.573955 2.675320 4.574018
2025-08-17 0.129611 0.255001 0.475754 0.883436 1.604635 2.808546 4.941289
2025-08-24 0.115113 0.235494 0.454800 0.872823 1.634602 2.941253 5.316159
2025-08-31 0.100565 0.213829 0.427234 0.846840 1.634027 3.020453 5.603933
2025-09-07 0.097211 0.213990 0.440757 0.899167 1.781645 3.372772 6.403722
2025-09-14 0.084901 0.194305 0.414043 0.872181 1.779794 3.459261 6.737221
2025-09-21 0.074465 0.177012 0.389845 0.847068 1.778280 3.544955 7.074454
2025-09-28 0.065892 0.162502 0.369474 0.827114 1.784261 3.644011 7.443016
2025-10-05 0.061663 0.157193 0.367762 0.845520 1.868688 3.899352 8.130106
2025-10-12 0.059768 0.157066 0.377191 0.888529 2.007458 4.271344 9.072955
2025-10-19 0.056777 0.153864 0.379371 0.915770 2.115197 4.589176 9.930798
2025-10-26 0.052745 0.147500 0.373565 0.924390 2.183344 4.831143 10.651739
2025-11-02 0.048352 0.139561 0.363104 0.921074 2.224553 5.019662 11.274827
2025-11-09 0.043902 0.130816 0.349659 0.909227 2.245259 5.165947 11.819041
2025-11-16 0.039960 0.122859 0.337194 0.898323 2.266888 5.315364 12.380127